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More than 4 in 10 people told pollsters they are struggling to maintain their financial standing, with a third citing inflation as their No. Suffolk University's Rhode Island poll is echoed nationally by a Monmouth University survey fielded last week.

"Among those making $50,000 per year, these findings were around 10 points higher." "In that poll, 6 in 10 Rhode islanders revealed that they are driving less, eating out less often, and cutting back spending on clothes," he added. "If 'safe seats' like this are in jeopardy for Democrats, 'toss-ups' will fare much worse." "The likely Republican nominee beat every possible Democrat by between 6 and 14 points," Paleologos said of a Suffolk University poll he conducted in June. Paleologos described Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District, a previously "safe" Democratic seat that is now deemed a toss-up, as "the canary in the coal mine." Mark Kelly (D-AZ), Raphael Warnock (D-GA), and Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV). It also assesses there to be three Senate toss-up bids, including those of Sens. It finds another 12 likely Republican contests, three seats of which are occupied by Democrats. Interestingly, Trump's approval was 42% this time in 2018, and Democrats gained 41 seats for that next Congress.Ī Cook Political Report House analysis considers there to be 25 Democratic and eight Republican toss-up campaigns, as well as 11 lean-Republican races, seven of which have Democratic incumbents. Democrats went on to lose 63 House seats in 2010 and 54 in 1994. At the corresponding point in Obama's and Clinton's terms, Obama's approval was 47% and Clinton's was 46%. Suffolk University Political Research Center Director David Paleologos predicted the historic pendulum swing against in-power Democrats will be "more pronounced" before then "as the economy continues to falter over the next three months."īiden's current average approval is 39%, while his average disapproval is 56%, according to FiveThirtyEight. "So if a recovery is possible, it is likely more than a year away," Franklin told the Washington Examiner. Bush, Jimmy Carter, and Gerald Ford did not. Bush and Richard Nixon, are recent examples.īy contrast, Clinton and former President Ronald Reagan experienced an approval bounce almost immediately after their first midterm cycle, Franklin said. Obama, as well as former Presidents George W. Past presidents have seen some rise in their approval ratings before their reelections, though not before their first midterm cycle, according to Marquette Law School's poll director, Charles Franklin. HIGHLAND PARK SHOOTING HEIGHTENS PRESSURE ON BIDEN TO CONFRONT CRIME President Joe Biden's poll numbers augur poorly for November's midterm elections, particularly when compared to former Presidents Barack Obama and Bill Clinton.īut pollsters speculate Biden's political fortunes could improve post-midterm cycle, at least according to trends set by his predecessors.